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Breece Hall

Breece Hall Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 3

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs New York Jets

 
 
 
Breece Hall Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-114/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 24.5 @ -109 before it was bet down to 22.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The New York Jets will be forced to utilize backup quarterback Tyrod Taylor in this contest, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.
  • The Jets are a big 7-point underdog in this week's contest, likely leading to an extreme passing game script.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 37.6 pass attempts per game against the Buccaneers defense since the start of last season: 2nd-most in the NFL.
  • Our trusted projections expect Breece Hall to garner 3.3 targets in this contest, on balance, placing him in the 84th percentile among running backs.
  • Breece Hall has been an integral part of his team's passing attack, posting a Target Share of 13.8% since the start of last season, which ranks him in the 97th percentile among RBs.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The New York Jets feature a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Tanner Engstrand, and our trusted projections expect their pass/run mix to tilt 13.0% more towards rushing than it did last season (adjusted for context).
  • Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the New York Jets to pass on 52.4% of their downs: the 6th-lowest clip on the slate this week.
  • Given the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is anticipated by the projections to have only 121.6 plays on offense run: the 2nd-lowest number out of all the games this week.
  • The 3rd-smallest volume of plays in the NFL have been run by the Jets since the start of last season (a measly 55.3 per game on average).
  • Breece Hall ranks as one of the most hard-handed receivers in the league when it comes to running backs, completing a mere 77.9% of balls thrown his way (adjusted for context) since the start of last season, grading out in the 19th percentile.

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