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Breece Hall

Breece Hall Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 2

New York Jets vs Buffalo Bills

 
 
 
Breece Hall Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-118/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 20.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 20.5 @ -118.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At a -5.5-point disadvantage, the Jets are underdogs in this game, indicating more of an emphasis on throwing than their usual approach.
  • Our trusted projections expect Breece Hall to accumulate 3.6 targets in this week's contest, on average, placing him in the 85th percentile when it comes to RBs.
  • Breece Hall has compiled a massive 2.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 87th percentile when it comes to running backs. (That may not sound very overwhelming, but most RBs have negative air yards because they are often targeted behind the line of scrimmage).
  • Breece Hall rates in the 97th percentile among RB WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that quantifies high-value offensive usage) with a remarkable 21.6 figure since the start of last season.
  • As it relates to pass-blocking (and the strong impact it has on all air attack metrics), the offensive line of the New York Jets profiles as the 6th-best in the NFL since the start of last season.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The model projects the Jets offensive blueprint to lean 9.7% more towards the ground game than it did last year (in a neutral context) with offensive coordinator Tanner Engstrand now calling the plays.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Jets as the 4th-least pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 52.8% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
  • Our trusted projections expect this game to see the fewest plays run among all games this week at 125.3 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Jets have run the 7th-fewest plays in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging a mere 55.8 plays per game.
  • With a poor 77.3% Adjusted Completion% (18th percentile) since the start of last season, Breece Hall has been among the worst possession receivers in football when it comes to RBs.

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