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Breece Hall

Breece Hall Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 17

New York Jets vs New England Patriots

 
 
 
Breece Hall Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-111/-111).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The New York Jets will be forced to utilize backup quarterback Brady Cook in this week's game, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.
  • This game's line suggests an extreme throwing game script for the Jets, who are enormous -13.5-point underdogs.
  • The predictive model expects the New York Jets to be the 9th-quickest paced defense in football (context-neutralized) at the present time, with opposing offenses averaging 28.03 seconds per snap.
  • Breece Hall has notched a massive 3.0 air yards per game this year: 92nd percentile when it comes to running backs. (That may not seem very overwhelming, but most RBs have negative air yards due to most of their targets being behind the line of scrimmage).
  • Breece Hall's sure-handedness have been refined this season, with his Adjusted Catch Rate rising from 76.7% to 89.2%.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • At the moment, the least pass-oriented offense in the NFL (54.2% context-neutralized) according to the model is the New York Jets.
  • Breece Hall's 15.6 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that weighs high-value offensive usage) has been notably lower this season than it was last season at 21.8.
  • Breece Hall has posted significantly fewer adjusted receiving yards per game (18.0) this year than he did last year (29.0).
  • Breece Hall's talent in generating extra yardage have declined this season, averaging just 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs a 8.51 figure last season.
  • This year, the imposing New England Patriots defense has yielded a meager 29.0 adjusted receiving yards per game to opposing running backs: the 10th-fewest in football.

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