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Breece Hall

Breece Hall Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 14

New York Jets vs Miami Dolphins

 
 
 
Breece Hall Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-111/-113).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 17.5 @ -111 before it was bet up to 20.5 @ -111.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At the moment, the 2nd-fastest paced offense in the league (in a neutral context) according to our trusted projection set is the Jets.
  • Our trusted projections expect Breece Hall to earn 3.7 targets in this week's contest, on balance, putting him in the 88th percentile when it comes to running backs.
  • When it comes to air yards, Breece Hall grades out in the towering 95th percentile among RBs this year, totaling a colossal 5.0 per game. (considering most of their targets come behind the line of scrimmage, that is much more notable than it appears since most RBs have negative air yards).
  • Breece Hall's possession skills have gotten better this year, with his Adjusted Catch Rate rising from 76.6% to 91.0%.
  • Breece Hall's 8.4 adjusted yards per target this year shows a remarkable improvement in his pass-catching prowess over last year's 6.2 figure.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Jets to pass on 52.5% of their downs: the 3rd-lowest frequency on the slate this week.
  • Opposing offenses teams have been wary to pass too much against the Dolphins, totaling the 7th-fewest attempts in football (a measly 31.1 per game) this year.
  • Breece Hall's 44.5% Route% this season conveys a noteable decline in his passing offense workload over last season's 60.6% rate.
  • Breece Hall's 21.0 adjusted yards per game on passes this season conveys a significant reduction in his receiving skills over last season's 29.0 figure.
  • Breece Hall's ability to generate extra yardage has diminished this year, totaling a measly 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs a 8.51 rate last year.

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