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Breece Hall

Breece Hall Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 12

Baltimore Ravens vs New York Jets

 
 
 
Breece Hall Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-140/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 15.5 @ -118 before it was bet up to 20.5 @ -140.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Jets are a massive 14-point underdog in this week's contest, which points towards an extreme passing game script.
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is forecasted by our trusted projection set to see just 128.2 offensive plays called: the 5th-lowest number on the slate this week.
  • The Ravens defense has been a bit of pass funnel this year, leading opposing offenses to attempt the 4th-most passes in the league (38.8 per game) this year.
  • The projections expect Breece Hall to total 4.1 targets in this week's contest, on average, putting him in the 89th percentile among running backs.
  • When talking about air yards, Breece Hall grades out in the towering 94th percentile among RBs this year, accumulating a monstrous 6.0 per game. (considering most of their targets come behind the line of scrimmage, this is much more noteworthy than it sounds since most RBs have negative air yards).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • At the present time, the 5th-least pass-centric team in the league (57.4% in a neutral context) according to our trusted projection set is the New York Jets.
  • Breece Hall has been less involved as a potential target this year (42.8% Route Participation% in games he has been on the field) than he did last year (60.6%).
  • As it relates to protecting the passer (and the significance it has on all pass game metrics), the O-line of the Jets grades out as the 5th-worst in football this year.
  • Breece Hall has notched significantly fewer adjusted receiving yards per game (19.0) this year than he did last year (29.0).
  • Breece Hall's 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year indicates a noteworthy drop-off in his efficiency in the open field over last year's 8.5% mark.

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