reorder

Breece Hall Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 11

New England Patriots vs New York Jets

Breece Hall Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-119/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 15.5 @ +115 before it was bet down to 15.5 @ +100.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This game's line indicates an extreme throwing game script for the Jets, who are enormous -13-point underdogs.

Our trusted projections expect Breece Hall to accumulate 3.6 targets in this week's game, on balance, putting him in the 82nd percentile among RBs.

When talking about air yards, Breece Hall ranks in the towering 94th percentile among RBs this year, accumulating a monstrous 6.0 per game. (as a result of being targeted behind the line of scrimmage, that is far more impressive than it appears since most RBs have negative air yards).

Breece Hall's 88.0% Adjusted Completion Rate this season indicates a material improvement in his pass-catching talent over last season's 76.6% mark.

Breece Hall's pass-catching effectiveness has been refined this season, accumulating 7.96 adjusted yards-per-target vs a mere 6.19 mark last season.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The model projects the New York Jets to be the 7th-least pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 55.8% pass rate, accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.

Based on their underlying play style and game dynamics, the New York Jets are predicted by the projections to run only 62.3 plays on offense in this game: the 3rd-fewest among all teams this week.

Breece Hall's 41.6% Route Participation Rate this season represents a substantial decline in his passing attack volume over last season's 60.6% figure.

The Jets O-line grades out as the 4th-worst in football this year in protecting the passer, which has a negative impact on all passing offense stats across the board.

Breece Hall's 20.0 adjusted receiving yards per game this season reflects a noteable diminishment in his receiving prowess over last season's 29.0 figure.

More Breece Hall Player Props

Breece Hall Receiving YardsPlayer Prop Week 11

New England Patriots vs New York Jets

Breece Hall Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 11