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Breece Hall

Breece Hall Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 11

New England Patriots vs New York Jets

 
 
 
Breece Hall Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-120/-108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 16.5 @ -119 before it was bet up to 17.5 @ -120.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This game's line indicates an extreme throwing game script for the Jets, who are enormous -12.5-point underdogs.
  • Our trusted projections expect Breece Hall to accumulate 3.6 targets in this week's game, on balance, putting him in the 82nd percentile among RBs.
  • When talking about air yards, Breece Hall ranks in the towering 94th percentile among RBs this year, accumulating a monstrous 6.0 per game. (as a result of being targeted behind the line of scrimmage, that is far more impressive than it appears since most RBs have negative air yards).
  • Breece Hall's 88.0% Adjusted Completion Rate this season indicates a material improvement in his pass-catching talent over last season's 76.6% mark.
  • Breece Hall's pass-catching effectiveness has been refined this season, accumulating 7.96 adjusted yards-per-target vs a mere 6.19 mark last season.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The model projects the New York Jets to be the 7th-least pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 55.5% pass rate, accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
  • Based on their underlying play style and game dynamics, the New York Jets are predicted by the projections to run only 62.7 plays on offense in this game: the 5th-fewest among all teams this week.
  • Breece Hall's 41.6% Route Participation Rate this season represents a substantial decline in his passing attack volume over last season's 60.6% figure.
  • The Jets O-line grades out as the 4th-worst in football this year in protecting the passer, which has a negative impact on all passing offense stats across the board.
  • Breece Hall's 20.0 adjusted receiving yards per game this season reflects a noteable diminishment in his receiving prowess over last season's 29.0 figure.

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