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Breece Hall

Breece Hall Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 10

New York Jets vs Cleveland Browns

 
 
 
Breece Hall Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-112/-112).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 16.5 @ -111 before it was bet down to 15.5 @ -112.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is expected by the projections to have 131.0 total plays run: the 5th-highest number on the slate this week.
  • This week, Breece Hall is predicted by the projection model to land in the 82nd percentile when it comes to RBs with 3.4 targets.
  • Breece Hall has compiled a staggering 8.0 air yards per game this year: 95th percentile when it comes to RBs. (That may not seem like a lot, but most RBs wind up with negative air yards given that they are usually targeted behind the line of scrimmage).
  • Breece Hall's 87.6% Adjusted Completion% this year marks a significant boost in his pass-catching skills over last year's 76.6% rate.
  • Breece Hall's pass-game effectiveness has gotten a boost this year, totaling 7.05 adjusted yards-per-target vs a measly 6.19 rate last year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the New York Jets to pass on 51.2% of their chances: the 2nd-lowest clip on the slate this week.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 29.4 pass attempts per game against the Browns defense this year: 6th-fewest in football.
  • Breece Hall has been used less as a potential target this season (42.6% Route Participation Rate in games he has played) than he did last season (60.6%).
  • As it relates to protecting the passer (and the importance it has on all pass game stats), the offensive line of the New York Jets grades out as the 4th-worst in the league this year.
  • Breece Hall has totaled quite a few less adjusted receiving yards per game (19.0) this year than he did last year (29.0).

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