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Breece Hall

Breece Hall Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 8

New England Patriots vs New York Jets

Breece Hall Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 29.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 25.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 29.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Right now, the 3rd-most pass-oriented team in the NFL (64.6% adjusted for context) according to the projection model is the New York Jets.

Breece Hall has been used more as a potential target this year (64.0% Route Participation% in games he has been on the field) than he did last year (47.8%).

In this week's contest, Breece Hall is predicted by the projection model to find himself in the 99th percentile when it comes to running backs with 5.8 targets.

In regards to air yards, Breece Hall grades out in the lofty 96th percentile among RBs this year, totaling a monstrous 7.0 per game. (considering most of their targets come behind the line of scrimmage, that is far more noteworthy than it sounds since most RBs wind up with negative air yards).

The Jets offensive line profiles as the 3rd-best in football this year in pass protection, which has a positive effect on all pass game stats across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

A running game script is implied by the Jets being a 3-point favorite in this game.

The predictive model expects the Jets to run the 2nd-fewest offensive plays on the slate this week with 62.0 plays, accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics.

Breece Hall's receiving reliability have tailed off this season, with his Adjusted Completion% decreasing from 85.1% to 76.5%.

The Patriots pass defense has excelled when opposing RBs have gotten into space, giving up an average of 4.76 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year: the 3rd-fewest in football.

More Breece Hall Player Props

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