Breece Hall Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 13

NFL · Player Props

Breece Hall

RB · New York Jets

Receiving Yards

New York Jets vs Seattle Seahawks · Week 13, 2024

Updated Dec 2, 2024 12:21 AM EST

Analysis

Breece Hall Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 28.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 27.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 28.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the New York Jets to pass on 59.2% of their opportunities: the 9th-highest frequency among all teams this week.
The projections expect this game to see the 5th-highest number of plays run on the slate this week at 130.9 plays, accounting for the traits of each team and game dynamics.
Breece Hall has been used more as a potential pass-catcher this season (64.2% Route Participation Rate in games he has been on the field) than he did last season (47.8%).
The leading projections forecast Breece Hall to total 5.5 targets in this week's contest, on balance, placing him in the 96th percentile when it comes to running backs.
Breece Hall has posted a monstrous 4.0 air yards per game this year: 97th percentile when it comes to running backs. (That might not seem like a lot, but most RBs average negative air yards because they are often targeted behind the line of scrimmage).

Favors Under

The New York Jets have run the 6th-fewest plays in the NFL this year, averaging just 55.5 plays per game.
Breece Hall's 78.3% Adjusted Completion% this year signifies an impressive diminishment in his pass-catching prowess over last year's 85.1% rate.
The Seattle Seahawks pass defense has conceded the 3rd-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (76.5%) to RBs this year (76.5%).
The Seahawks pass defense has exhibited good efficiency vs. running backs this year, yielding 6.01 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 10th-fewest in football.
As it relates to safeties in defending receivers, Seattle's collection of safeties has been exceptional this year, grading out as the 6th-best in the league.