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Breece Hall

Breece Hall Carries
Player Prop Week 3

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs New York Jets

 
 
 
Breece Hall Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-130/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ -130.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The New York Jets feature a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Tanner Engstrand, and our trusted projections expect their pass/run mix to tilt 13.0% more towards rushing than it did last season (adjusted for context).
  • The leading projections forecast the Jets to be the 6th-most run-focused offense on the slate this week with a 47.6% run rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
  • In this week's contest, Breece Hall is projected by the projection model to slot into the 89th percentile when it comes to RBs with 17.3 carries.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The New York Jets will be forced to utilize backup quarterback Tyrod Taylor in this contest, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.
  • The Jets are a big 7-point underdog in this week's contest, likely leading to an extreme passing game script.
  • Given the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is anticipated by the projections to have only 121.6 plays on offense run: the 2nd-lowest number out of all the games this week.
  • The 3rd-smallest volume of plays in the NFL have been run by the Jets since the start of last season (a measly 55.3 per game on average).
  • Breece Hall has been much less involved in his offense's running game this year (50.9% Carry Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last year (63.6%).

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