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Breece Hall

Breece Hall Carries
Player Prop Week 17

New York Jets vs New England Patriots

 
 
 
Breece Hall Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-122/-108).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 14.5 @ -102 before it was bet down to 14.5 @ -108.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The projections expect the Jets to be the 2nd-most run-oriented team in the league (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 45.6% run rate.
  • In this week's contest, Breece Hall is predicted by the model to slot into the 95th percentile when it comes to RBs with 18.3 carries.
  • Out of all RBs, Breece Hall grades out in the 89th percentile for rush attempts this year, taking on 59.2% of the workload in his offense's ground game.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The New York Jets will be forced to utilize backup quarterback Brady Cook in this week's game, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.
  • This game's line suggests an extreme throwing game script for the Jets, who are enormous -13-point underdogs.
  • Given their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Jets are predicted by the predictive model to call only 62.2 total plays in this game: the 2nd-fewest on the slate this week.
  • The passing games of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still weather conditions (4-mph wind) being called for in this game, while ground volume may decline.
  • When it comes to the safeties' role in run defense, New England's group of safeties has been very good this year, projecting as the best in the NFL.

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