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Breece Hall

Breece Hall Carries
Player Prop Week 1

New York Jets vs Pittsburgh Steelers

 
 
 
Breece Hall Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 12.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 12.5 @ -120.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Jets feature a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Tanner Engstrand, and the leading projections forecast their pass/run mix to skew 6.7% more towards rushing than it did last year (adjusted for context).
  • At the moment, the 7th-most run-focused team in football (40.9% in a neutral context) according to the model is the Jets.
  • When it comes to the defensive tackles' role in defending against the run, Pittsburgh's group of DTs has been awful last year, grading out as the 4th-worst in football. in football.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This game's line implies a passing game script for the Jets, who are -3-point underdogs.
  • The predictive model expects the Jets to run the 8th-fewest plays on offense among all teams this week with 62.9 plays, based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics.
  • The 5th-lowest number of plays in the league have been run by the Jets last year (a mere 55.7 per game on average).
  • The leading projections forecast Breece Hall to be a less important option in his offense's ground game this week (35.7% projected Carry Share) than he has been last year (63.6% in games he has played).

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