Breece Hall Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 11

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Breece Hall

NFL · Player Props

Breece Hall

RB · New York Jets

Carries

New York Jets vs Indianapolis Colts · Week 11, 2024

Updated Nov 18, 2024 1:06 AM EST

Analysis

Breece Hall Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-139/+102).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 15.5 @ -133 before it was bet up to 15.5 @ -139.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This week's spread suggests a rushing game script for the Jets, who are favored by 4.5 points.
Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is expected by our trusted projection set to have 130.0 total plays run: the 5th-most out of all the games this week.
Our trusted projections expect Breece Hall to garner 15.9 carries this week, on balance, placing him in the 82nd percentile when it comes to RBs.

Favors Under

The predictive model expects the Jets to be the 7th-least run-heavy team on the slate this week with a 40.2% run rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
The 10th-smallest volume of plays in football have been run by the New York Jets this year (just 56.2 per game on average).
Breece Hall has been a more integral piece of his team's offense this season, staying in the game for 76.5% of snaps vs just 55.3% last season.
The Indianapolis Colts defensive tackles rank as the 7th-best group of DTs in football this year when it comes to run defense.

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