Breece Hall Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 10

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Breece Hall

NFL · Player Props

Breece Hall

RB · New York Jets

Carries

Arizona Cardinals vs New York Jets · Week 10, 2024

Updated Nov 11, 2024 3:56 AM EST

Analysis

Breece Hall Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-120/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 15.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 15.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The New York Jets offense has played at the 10th-quickest pace in the league (in a neutral context) this year, averaging 28.51 seconds per play.
This week, Breece Hall is expected by the projection model to slot into the 85th percentile among RBs with 16.6 carries.

Favors Under

The predictive model expects the New York Jets as the 3rd-least run-oriented team on the slate this week with a 39.0% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
Still weather conditions (like the 2-mph wind being called for in this game) typically lead to better passing efficiency, higher touchdown potential, higher pass volume, and lower rush volume.
Breece Hall has been a much bigger part of his team's offense this year, staying in the game for 76.0% of snaps vs just 55.3% last year.
When it comes to the safeties' role in defending against the run, Arizona's unit has been tremendous this year, ranking as the 3rd-best in the league.

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