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Braxton Berrios

Braxton Berrios Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 9

Houston Texans vs Denver Broncos

 
 
 
Braxton Berrios Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+2000/-6500).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +2000 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +2000.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Our trusted projections expect the Houston Texans to be the 5th-most pass-centric offense in football near the goal line (in a neutral context) right now with a 60.2% red zone pass rate.
  • Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is forecasted by our trusted projection set to have 135.7 plays on offense run: the 3rd-highest number among all games this week.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
  • The Denver defensive tackles profile as the 4th-best group of DTs in the league this year in regard to defending the run.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • While Braxton Berrios has been responsible for 7.5% of his offense's red zone targets in games he has played since the start of last season, the projections expect him to be a much smaller part of Houston's passing attack near the goal line in this contest at 1.7%.
  • Braxton Berrios has put up a meager 7.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: a lowly 18th percentile when it comes to wideouts.
  • This year, the stout Broncos defense has yielded a measly 64.3% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing offenses: the smallest rate in football.
  • This year, the formidable Denver Broncos defense has conceded a puny 0.25 touchdowns through the air per game to opposing wideouts: the lowest rate in football.

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