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Braxton Berrios

Braxton Berrios Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 2

Cleveland Browns vs New York Jets

 
 
 
Braxton Berrios Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-115/-119).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 20.5 @ -119 before it was bet down to 18.5 @ -119.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the New York Jets to be the 2nd-least pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 62.7% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • Braxton Berrios has been among the top WRs in the league at picking up extra yardage, averaging a stellar 4.96 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) since the start of last season while ranking in the 78th percentile.
  • The New York Jets O-line has afforded their quarterback 2.69 seconds before the pass (5th-best in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a positive effect on all passing offense statistics across the board.
  • The New York Jets have gone for it on 4th down 22.0% of the time since the start of last season (10th-most in the NFL), which usually means more offensive volume, more touchdown potential, and higher offensive stats across the board.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Jets to call the 7th-least plays on offense on the slate this week with 60.7 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The New York Jets have run the 10th-least plays in football since the start of last season, averaging a mere 61.4 plays per game.
  • The New York Jets offensive line ranks as the 10th-worst in the league since the start of last season in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful impact on all pass attack metrics across the board.
  • The Cleveland Browns pass defense has yielded the 9th-lowest Completion% in football (64.6%) to wideouts since the start of last season (64.6%).
  • The Cleveland Browns pass defense has performed very well when opposing wideouts have gotten into space, yielding an average of 4.08 yards-after-the-catch since the start of last season: the 7th-least in football.

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