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Brandon Johnson

Brandon Johnson Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 17

Denver Broncos vs Los Angeles Chargers

 
 
 
Brandon Johnson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 30.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 24.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 30.5 @ -130.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Denver Broncos will be forced to use backup QB Jarrett Stidham in this contest, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.
  • The Los Angeles Chargers defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, inducing opposing QBs to attempt the 9th-most passes in the NFL (37.7 per game) this year.
  • While Brandon Johnson has earned 6.0% of his team's targets in games he has played this year, our trusted projections expect him to be a more integral piece of Denver's offense this week at 15.2%.
  • The Denver offensive line profiles as the 3rd-best in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a strong influence on all passing offense metrics across the board.
  • Brandon Johnson profiles as one of the most efficient receivers in the NFL, averaging an impressive 10.03 adjusted yards-per-target this year while ranking in the 89th percentile when it comes to wideouts.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This game's spread suggests a rushing game script for the Broncos, who are favored by 3.5 points.
  • The leading projections forecast the Broncos as the 5th-least pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 50.5% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
  • Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is forecasted by the projections to see just 127.5 offensive plays run: the 3rd-lowest number on the slate this week.
  • The 3rd-smallest volume of plays in the league have been called by the Denver Broncos this year (only 54.2 per game on average).
  • Brandon Johnson has compiled far fewer air yards this season (21.0 per game) than he did last season (27.0 per game).

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