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Brandon Aiyuk

Brandon Aiyuk Receptions
Player Prop Week 7

San Francisco 49ers vs Kansas City Chiefs

 
 
 
Brandon Aiyuk Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-128/-102).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ +108 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -128.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The 49ers have called the 5th-most plays in football this year, averaging a colossal 60.3 plays per game.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 35.8 pass attempts per game vs. the Chiefs defense this year: 9th-most in football.
  • In this week's game, Brandon Aiyuk is expected by the projection model to place in the 84th percentile among wide receivers with 7.6 targets.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Accounting for their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the 49ers are projected by the projection model to run only 61.9 total plays in this contest: the 4th-fewest among all teams this week.
  • Brandon Aiyuk's 55.2 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that quantifies high-value offensive involvement) has been notably lower this year than it was last year at 67.8.
  • Brandon Aiyuk's 3.7 adjusted receptions per game this year reflects a meaningful drop-off in his receiving talent over last year's 4.7 mark.
  • Brandon Aiyuk's 57.4% Adjusted Completion% this season conveys a significant decline in his receiving talent over last season's 74.7% rate.
  • The Chiefs pass defense has conceded the 5th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (58.5%) to wide receivers this year (58.5%).

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