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Brandon Aiyuk

Brandon Aiyuk Receptions
Player Prop Week 6

Seattle Seahawks vs San Francisco 49ers

Brandon Aiyuk Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-141/+108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -139 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -141.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The 3rd-most plays in the NFL have been called by the San Francisco 49ers this year (a massive 61.2 per game on average).

The leading projections forecast Brandon Aiyuk to earn 7.5 targets in this contest, on average, putting him in the 81st percentile among WRs.

The Seattle Seahawks pass defense has been torched for the 6th-highest Adjusted Completion% in the league (69.2%) vs. WRs this year (69.2%).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 5-point advantage, the 49ers are favored this week, indicating more of an emphasis on rushing than their typical game plan.

The leading projections forecast the 49ers to be the 6th-least pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 53.8% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

Our trusted projections expect the 49ers to run the 5th-fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 62.5 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

Brandon Aiyuk's 53.6 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that measures high-value offensive usage) has been quite a bit worse this season than it was last season at 67.8.

As it relates to protecting the passer (and the importance it has on all passing attack metrics), the offensive line of the 49ers profiles as the 10th-worst in the league this year.

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