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Brandon Aiyuk

Brandon Aiyuk Receptions
Player Prop Week 5

San Francisco 49ers vs Arizona Cardinals

Brandon Aiyuk Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-107/-121).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -109 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -121.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The 2nd-largest volume of plays in the league have been called by the 49ers this year (a monstrous 61.8 per game on average).

Since the start of last season, the deficient Cardinals pass defense has given up a massive 70.5% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing wide receivers: the highest rate in the NFL.

The Arizona Cardinals linebackers profile as the 4th-worst collection of LBs in the NFL this year in defending pass-catchers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This week's spread implies an extreme running game script for the 49ers, who are a massive favorite by 9.5 points.

Our trusted projections expect the San Francisco 49ers to be the 3rd-least pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 50.7% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

Accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the 49ers are expected by the projections to run just 61.6 plays on offense in this game: the 3rd-lowest number on the slate this week.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 25.8 pass attempts per game vs. the Cardinals defense this year: fewest in football.

Brandon Aiyuk has been a much smaller piece of his team's passing offense this season (20.0% Target Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last season (25.5%).

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