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Brandon Aiyuk

Brandon Aiyuk Receptions
Player Prop Week 1

San Francisco 49ers vs New York Jets

Brandon Aiyuk Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-165/+125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -155 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -165.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This week, Brandon Aiyuk is forecasted by our trusted projection set to secure a spot in the 76th percentile among wideouts with 6.3 targets.

Brandon Aiyuk's 66.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that weighs high-value offensive volume) puts him in the company of the best in the league: 92nd percentile for wide receivers.

With a remarkable 5.1 adjusted catches per game (86th percentile) last year, Brandon Aiyuk ranks as one of the best pass-catching wide receivers in the NFL.

Brandon Aiyuk grades out as one of the most reliable receivers in the league, catching a terrific 70.8% of balls thrown his way (adjusted for context) last year, checking in at the 76th percentile among wide receivers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This game's spread suggests a running game script for the 49ers, who are favored by 5.5 points.

The model projects the San Francisco 49ers as the least pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 55.2% pass rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.

The predictive model expects this game to see the lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 126.7 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The San Francisco 49ers have called the fewest plays in the league last year, averaging a measly 53.5 plays per game.

Windy weather conditions (like the 12-mph being projected in this game) typically cause lessened passing efficiency, lower pass volume, and higher rush volume.

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