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Brandon Aiyuk

Brandon Aiyuk Receptions
Player Prop Week 22

Kansas City Chiefs vs San Francisco 49ers

Brandon Aiyuk Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+120/-155).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -155.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The predictive model expects this game to have the lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 127.5 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

Still weather conditions (like the 0-mph wind being projected in this game) usually mean increased passing effectiveness, increased TD potential, increased pass volume, and lower ground volume.

Our trusted projections expect Brandon Aiyuk to garner 7.9 targets in this contest, on average, ranking him in the 91st percentile among wideouts.

Brandon Aiyuk's 66.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that assesses high-value offensive usage) has been significantly better this year than it was last year at 58.8.

With an exceptional 4.5 adjusted catches per game (83rd percentile) this year, Brandon Aiyuk places among the leading wide receivers in the game in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The leading projections forecast the 49ers as the least pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 58.2% pass rate, accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

The 49ers have run the fewest plays in the league this year, averaging just 54.1 plays per game.

Opposing QBs teams have been afraid to lean on the pass against the Chiefs, averaging the fewest attempts in the league (a mere 25.8 per game) this year.

When it comes to protecting the passer (and the ramifications it has on all passing game metrics), the O-line of the San Francisco 49ers profiles as the worst in the league this year.

The Kansas City Chiefs pass defense has surrendered the 7th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the league (61.6%) versus wide receivers this year (61.6%).

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