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Brandon Aiyuk

Brandon Aiyuk Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 3

Los Angeles Rams vs San Francisco 49ers

Brandon Aiyuk Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 74.5 (+107/-137).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 71.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 74.5 @ +107.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The passing offenses of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the still weather conditions (0-mph wind) being predicted in this game, while run volume may suffer.

The Rams defense has been a glaring pass funnel since the start of last season, inducing opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 10th-most passes in the league (34.9 per game) since the start of last season.

The projections expect Brandon Aiyuk to accumulate 9.1 targets in this week's game, on balance, placing him in the 93rd percentile among WRs.

While Brandon Aiyuk has accounted for 23.8% of his team's targets in games he has played since the start of last season, the projections expect him to be a much bigger part of San Francisco's offense in this week's contest at 30.0%.

In regards to air yards, Brandon Aiyuk grades out in the lofty 91st percentile among WRs since the start of last season, totaling a monstrous 91.0 per game.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the model projects the San Francisco 49ers to pass on 54.9% of their chances: the 8th-lowest rate on the slate this week.

Based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the 49ers are predicted by the projection model to run only 61.7 plays on offense in this game: the 4th-lowest number among all teams this week.

The 2nd-smallest volume of plays in football have been run by the San Francisco 49ers since the start of last season (a measly 54.7 per game on average).

As it relates to pass protection (and the importance it has on all passing attack metrics), the O-line of the 49ers profiles as the 5th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season.

Since the start of last season, the daunting Los Angeles Rams defense has given up a feeble 57.3% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing wide receivers: the 2nd-smallest rate in the league.

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