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Brandin Cooks

Brandin Cooks Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 8

New Orleans Saints vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

 
 
 
Brandin Cooks Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+780/-1050).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -1000 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -1050.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • A throwing game script is implied by the Saints being a -3.5-point underdog in this game.
  • The predictive model expects the Saints to run the most total plays among all teams this week with 68.5 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • The Saints offensive line ranks as the 9th-best in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a strong impact on all passing game stats across the board.
  • Brandin Cooks's receiving reliability have improved this year, with his Adjusted Completion Rate increasing from 52.8% to 76.9%.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • At the moment, the 9th-least pass-heavy team in the league (59.2% context-neutralized) according to the model is the New Orleans Saints.
  • After accumulating 60.0 air yards per game last season, Brandin Cooks has been a disappointment this season, currently pacing 27.0 per game.
  • Brandin Cooks's 19.1 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that examines high-value offensive involvement) has been notably worse this season than it was last season at 38.9.
  • Brandin Cooks has not caught any TDs this year.
  • This year, the tough Buccaneers defense has surrendered a measly 61.3% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing wide receivers: the 9th-smallest rate in football.

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