My Account Log Out

reorder

Brandin Cooks

Brandin Cooks Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 3

Seattle Seahawks vs New Orleans Saints

Brandin Cooks Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+780/-2000).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -1650 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -2000.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Saints have a new play-caller this season in head coach Kellen Moore, and the predictive model expects their pass/run mix to skew 2.7% more towards passing than it did last season (context-neutralized).

An extreme throwing game script is suggested by the Saints being a huge -7-point underdog in this week's game.

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is predicted by the model to see 138.9 total plays called: the most on the slate this week.

Opposing teams have averaged 33.5 pass attempts per game against the Seahawks defense since the start of last season: 10th-most in football.

Since the start of last season, the porous Seattle Seahawks defense has given up a massive 1.05 receiving touchdowns per game to opposing wideouts: the 8th-highest rate in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Our trusted projections expect the New Orleans Saints to be the 10th-least pass-centric offense in football (in a neutral context) right now with a 59.7% pass rate.

The New Orleans Saints have played in the 2nd-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in the league since the start of last season, which should result in lower pass volume, higher running volume, and reduced offense effectiveness when facing windier conditions in this week's game.

The Saints are willing to include receivers in their run game, and Brandin Cooks has earned 2.3% of red zone rush attempts since the start of last season (0th when it comes to wide receivers).

Brandin Cooks has been has not been looked to very often his team's pass game near the goal line, garnering a Red Zone Target Share of just 0.0% this year, which places him in the 1st percentile among WRs.

The New Orleans O-line grades out as the worst in the NFL since the start of last season in pass protection, which has a negative impact on all pass game stats across the board.

More Brandin Cooks Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™