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Brandin Cooks

Brandin Cooks Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 20

Denver Broncos vs Buffalo Bills

 
 
 
Brandin Cooks Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+500/-580).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +500 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +500.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is forecasted by our trusted projection set to have just 130.1 total plays called: the 2nd-fewest among all games this week.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 34.4 pass attempts per game against the Denver Broncos defense this year: 5th-most in football.
  • The predictive model expects Brandin Cooks to be much more involved in his offense's passing attack near the goal line in this week's game (12.5% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (1.6% in games he has played).
  • The Bills O-line ranks as the 5th-best in the league this year in pass protection, which has a positive effect on all pass attack stats across the board.
  • Brandin Cooks's 69.8% Adjusted Catch% this year illustrates a remarkable growth in his pass-catching ability over last year's 52.8% rate.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Our trusted projections expect the Bills to be the 2nd-least pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 53.7% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
  • Right now, the 6th-most run-centric offense in the league in the red zone (48.6% in a neutral context) according to our trusted projection set is the Bills.
  • After accumulating 60.0 air yards per game last season, Brandin Cooks has produced significantly less this season, now pacing 39.0 per game.
  • Brandin Cooks's 23.9 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that examines high-value offensive involvement) has been significantly lower this season than it was last season at 38.9.
  • With a lousy rate of just 0.00 per game through the air (1st percentile), Brandin Cooks stands among the bottom receiving touchdown-scorers in the NFL among wide receivers this year.

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