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Brandin Cooks

Brandin Cooks Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 19

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Buffalo Bills

 
 
 
Brandin Cooks Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+420/-500).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +580 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +420.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Bills will be rolling out backup QB Josh Allen in this game, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.
  • Our trusted projections expect this game to see the 2nd-fewest plays run out of all the games this week at 125.6 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars defense has been a glaring pass funnel this year, allowing opposing quarterbacks to attempt the most passes in football (37.5 per game) this year.
  • While Brandin Cooks has received 1.6% of his offense's red zone targets in games he has played this year, the projections expect him to be much more involved in Buffalo's passing attack near the goal line in this week's game at 9.0%.
  • In regards to pass-blocking (and the strong impact it has on all passing offense metrics), the offensive line of the Bills grades out as the best in the NFL this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The leading projections forecast the Buffalo Bills to be the 6th-most run-heavy team in football near the end zone (context-neutralized) right now with a 48.5% red zone run rate.
  • After averaging 60.0 air yards per game last year, Brandin Cooks has seen a big decline this year, now averaging 34.0 per game.
  • Brandin Cooks's 21.9 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that weighs high-value offensive involvement) has been notably worse this year than it was last year at 38.9.
  • With a very bad rate of only 0.00 per game through the air (1st percentile), Brandin Cooks ranks among the bottom receiving touchdown-scorers in the league when it comes to WRs this year.
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars pass defense has given up the 5th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (61.4%) to WRs this year (61.4%).

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