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Brandin Cooks

Brandin Cooks Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 15

New England Patriots vs Buffalo Bills

 
 
 
Brandin Cooks Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+920/-1500).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -1600 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -1500.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • When it comes to pass-blocking (and the positive impact it has on all passing offense stats), the O-line of the Bills profiles as the best in the NFL this year.
  • Brandin Cooks's 80.7% Adjusted Catch Rate this season represents a noteworthy progression in his receiving proficiency over last season's 52.8% figure.
  • This year, the weak Patriots defense has yielded a massive 1.23 receiving TDs per game to opposing wide receivers: the 4th-highest rate in the NFL.
  • This year, the stout Patriots run defense has given up a measly 0.38 rushing TDs per game to opposing offenses: the 2nd-smallest rate in the NFL.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The leading projections forecast the Bills to be the 9th-least pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 53.0% pass rate, accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
  • At the present time, the 8th-most run-heavy team in the league in the red zone (47.2% in a neutral context) according to the model is the Buffalo Bills.
  • The leading projections forecast this game to have the fewest plays run out of all the games this week at 124.5 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • With a bottom-tier 1.9% Red Zone Target Rate (17th percentile) this year, Brandin Cooks stands among the wide receivers with the highest volume near the end zone in football.
  • Brandin Cooks has compiled quite a few less air yards this year (21.0 per game) than he did last year (60.0 per game).

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