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Brandin Cooks

Brandin Cooks Receptions
Player Prop Week 7

Chicago Bears vs New Orleans Saints

 
 
 
Brandin Cooks Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+105/-140).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -140.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Saints are a 3.5-point underdog in this week's game, indicating a passing game script.
  • Given the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is forecasted by the projections to see 140.1 plays on offense run: the most on the slate this week.
  • The New Orleans Saints have run the 4th-most plays in the league this year, totaling a colossal 61.2 plays per game.
  • Brandin Cooks's 75.0% Adjusted Catch Rate this season reflects a remarkable progression in his pass-catching prowess over last season's 52.8% mark.
  • The Bears linebackers rank as the worst LB corps in football this year in regard to pass rush.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Saints to pass on 53.6% of their downs: the 6th-lowest rate among all teams this week.
  • The weather report calls for 21-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and lessened passing efficiency.
  • Opposing QBs teams have been disinclined to rely on the passing game too much against the Chicago Bears, totaling the 2nd-fewest attempts in the NFL (a lowly 28.2 per game) this year.
  • Brandin Cooks has been a less important option in his team's passing attack this year (8.7% Target Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last year (15.4%).
  • The Chicago Bears pass defense has conceded the 7th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (63.8%) versus wide receivers since the start of last season (63.8%).

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