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Brandin Cooks

Brandin Cooks Receptions
Player Prop Week 19

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Buffalo Bills

 
 
 
Brandin Cooks Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+146/-170).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -119 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ +146.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Bills will be rolling out backup QB Josh Allen in this game, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.
  • Our trusted projections expect this game to see the 2nd-fewest plays run out of all the games this week at 125.6 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars defense has been a glaring pass funnel this year, allowing opposing quarterbacks to attempt the most passes in football (37.5 per game) this year.
  • In regards to pass-blocking (and the strong impact it has on all passing offense metrics), the offensive line of the Bills grades out as the best in the NFL this year.
  • Brandin Cooks's possession skills have been refined this year, with his Adjusted Completion% rising from 52.8% to 69.8%.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Brandin Cooks's 7.8% Target Share this season conveys a significant decrease in his air attack workload over last season's 15.4% rate.
  • Brandin Cooks's 1.6 adjusted catches per game this season shows an impressive reduction in his pass-catching skills over last season's 2.6 figure.
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars pass defense has given up the 5th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (61.4%) to WRs this year (61.4%).
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars linebackers project as the 2nd-best group of LBs in football this year in defending pass-catchers.

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