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Brandin Cooks

Brandin Cooks Receptions
Player Prop Week 17

Philadelphia Eagles vs Dallas Cowboys

 
 
 
Brandin Cooks Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+105/-140).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ +135 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ +105.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Dallas Cowboys will be forced to start backup QB Cooper Rush in this game, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.
  • The Cowboys are an enormous 7.5-point underdog in this week's game, indicating an extreme passing game script.
  • Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Dallas Cowboys to pass on 59.7% of their chances: the 8th-highest frequency on the slate this week.
  • Given the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is projected by the predictive model to have 133.0 total plays called: the 5th-most out of all the games this week.
  • The Dallas Cowboys have run the 5th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a staggering 60.4 plays per game.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The weatherman calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and worse passing efficiency.
  • When talking about protecting the passer (and the influence it has on all passing attack stats), the O-line of the Cowboys grades out as the 7th-worst in the NFL this year.
  • Brandin Cooks's 2.4 adjusted receptions per game this season indicates a substantial regression in his pass-catching prowess over last season's 3.4 rate.
  • Brandin Cooks's 54.2% Adjusted Completion% this year indicates a meaningful decrease in his receiving ability over last year's 66.4% mark.
  • The Eagles pass defense has surrendered the 4th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the league (60.9%) vs. wide receivers this year (60.9%).

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