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Brandin Cooks

Brandin Cooks Receptions
Player Prop Week 11

Carolina Panthers vs Dallas Cowboys

 
 
 
Brandin Cooks Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-145/+107).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ +125 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ +107.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Our trusted projections expect the Dallas Cowboys offensive gameplan to lean 6.4% more towards passing than it did last season (context-neutralized) with offensive coordinator Brian Schottenheimer now calling the plays.
  • Based on their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Dallas Cowboys are forecasted by our trusted projection set to run 65.5 plays on offense in this game: the 7th-highest number on the slate this week.
  • The Cowboys have run the 7th-most plays in football this year, totaling a staggering 60.8 plays per game.
  • The Carolina Panthers safeties rank as the 2nd-worst unit in football this year with their pass rush.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 11.5-point advantage, the Cowboys are heavily favored in this game, indicating much more of a reliance on rushing than their usual game plan.
  • The leading projections forecast the Dallas Cowboys to be the 7th-least pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 55.0% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
  • Opposing QBs teams have been hesitant to lean on the pass against the Panthers, averaging the 3rd-fewest attempts in football (a lowly 29.9 per game) this year.
  • Brandin Cooks's 35.6 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that quantifies high-value offensive usage) has been substantially lower this season than it was last season at 53.6.
  • Brandin Cooks's 3.2 adjusted receptions per game this season marks a material diminishment in his pass-catching talent over last season's 4.3 rate.

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