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Brandin Cooks

Brandin Cooks Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 3

Seattle Seahawks vs New Orleans Saints

Brandin Cooks Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 15.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 15.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Saints have a new play-caller this season in head coach Kellen Moore, and the predictive model expects their pass/run mix to skew 2.7% more towards passing than it did last season (context-neutralized).

An extreme throwing game script is suggested by the Saints being a huge -7-point underdog in this week's game.

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is predicted by the model to see 138.9 total plays called: the most on the slate this week.

Opposing teams have averaged 33.5 pass attempts per game against the Seahawks defense since the start of last season: 10th-most in football.

As it relates to safeties in defending receivers, Seattle's group of safeties has been easily exploitable since the start of last season, profiling as the 8th-worst in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Our trusted projections expect the New Orleans Saints to be the 10th-least pass-centric offense in football (in a neutral context) right now with a 59.7% pass rate.

The New Orleans Saints have played in the 2nd-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in the league since the start of last season, which should result in lower pass volume, higher running volume, and reduced offense effectiveness when facing windier conditions in this week's game.

The New Orleans O-line grades out as the worst in the NFL since the start of last season in pass protection, which has a negative impact on all pass game stats across the board.

With a bad 55.6% Adjusted Catch% (10th percentile) since the start of last season, Brandin Cooks ranks among the most hard-handed receivers in the NFL when it comes to wideouts.

With a poor 5.8 adjusted yards per target (3rd percentile) since the start of last season, Brandin Cooks stands as one of the bottom wide receivers in the league in the league.

More Brandin Cooks Player Props

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