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Brandin Cooks

Brandin Cooks Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 16

Cleveland Browns vs Buffalo Bills

 
 
 
Brandin Cooks Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is projected by the projection model to have 131.0 plays on offense called: the 5th-most on the slate this week.
  • In regards to pass protection (and the strong effect it has on all pass attack metrics), the offensive line of the Bills profiles as the 2nd-best in the NFL this year.
  • Brandin Cooks's receiving reliability have gotten better this year, with his Adjusted Catch Rate rising from 52.8% to 72.0%.
  • Brandin Cooks's 6.7 adjusted yards per target this season signifies a meaningful progression in his pass-catching talent over last season's 5.4 mark.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This game's line suggests an extreme running game script for the Bills, who are heavily favored by 10.5 points.
  • The leading projections forecast the Buffalo Bills as the least pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 50.5% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
  • The weather report calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and lessened passing efficiency.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 30.6 pass attempts per game vs. the Browns defense this year: 3rd-fewest in football.
  • Brandin Cooks's 7.0% Target Rate this season reflects a meaningful reduction in his pass game workload over last season's 15.4% rate.

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