Brandin Cooks Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 4

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Brandin Cooks

NFL · Player Props

Brandin Cooks

WR · Dallas Cowboys

Receiving Yards

New York Giants vs Dallas Cowboys · Week 4, 2024

Updated Sep 26, 2024 11:16 PM EST

Analysis

Brandin Cooks Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 34.5 (-129/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 37.5 @ -113 before it was bet down to 34.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The projections expect the Cowboys to be the 5th-most pass-heavy team in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 63.1% pass rate.
The leading projections forecast this game to have the 2nd-highest number of plays run out of all the games this week at 131.8 plays, given the play styles of each team and game dynamics.
The 3rd-largest volume of plays in football have been run by the Cowboys since the start of last season (a massive 60.6 per game on average).
The weather forecast calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, and reduced rush volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
Brandin Cooks has been on the field for 80.7% of his offense's snaps this year, placing him in the 81st percentile among wideouts.

Favors Under

This game's line implies a running game script for the Cowboys, who are favored by 4 points.
Dallas's passing stats since the start of last season may be artificially too high (and rushing stats reduced) in light of playing the 3rd-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in the NFL. We should be able to count on some correction with windier weather in this week's contest.
Brandin Cooks profiles as one of the worst WRs in the league at grinding out extra yardage, averaging a lowly 2.20 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) since the start of last season while ranking in the 4th percentile.
As it relates to linebackers in covering receivers, New York's group of LBs has been one of the most skilled since the start of last season, profiling as the 6th-best in football.

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