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Brandin Cooks

Brandin Cooks Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 4

New York Giants vs Dallas Cowboys

 
 
 
Brandin Cooks Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 34.5 (-129/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 37.5 @ -113 before it was bet down to 34.5 @ +100.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The projections expect the Cowboys to be the 5th-most pass-heavy team in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 63.1% pass rate.
  • The leading projections forecast this game to have the 2nd-highest number of plays run out of all the games this week at 131.8 plays, given the play styles of each team and game dynamics.
  • The 3rd-largest volume of plays in football have been run by the Cowboys since the start of last season (a massive 60.6 per game on average).
  • The weather forecast calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, and reduced rush volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • Brandin Cooks has been on the field for 80.7% of his offense's snaps this year, placing him in the 81st percentile among wideouts.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This game's line implies a running game script for the Cowboys, who are favored by 4 points.
  • Dallas's passing stats since the start of last season may be artificially too high (and rushing stats reduced) in light of playing the 3rd-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in the NFL. We should be able to count on some correction with windier weather in this week's contest.
  • Brandin Cooks profiles as one of the worst WRs in the league at grinding out extra yardage, averaging a lowly 2.20 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) since the start of last season while ranking in the 4th percentile.
  • As it relates to linebackers in covering receivers, New York's group of LBs has been one of the most skilled since the start of last season, profiling as the 6th-best in football.

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