Brandin Cooks Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 5

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Brandin Cooks

NFL · Player Props

Brandin Cooks

WR · Houston Texans

Receiving Yards

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Houston Texans · Week 5, 2022

Updated Oct 9, 2022 11:15 PM UTC

Analysis

Brandin Cooks Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 67.5 (-125/-105).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Houston Texans boast a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Pep Hamilton, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 5.2% more towards passing than it did last season (in a neutral context).
The Texans are a heavy 7-point underdog in this week's contest, indicating an extreme passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Houston Texans to be the 2nd-most pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 64.5% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Houston Texans offense to be the 3rd-fastest paced team in football (in a neutral context) at the present time, averaging 26.40 seconds per snap.
THE BLITZ projects Brandin Cooks to earn 9.6 targets in this week's contest, on average, putting him in the 94th percentile among wide receivers.

Favors Under

The weather forecast calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.
Brandin Cooks has totaled quite a few less air yards this season (82.0 per game) than he did last season (93.0 per game).
Brandin Cooks's 60.2 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been significantly worse this year than it was last year at 71.8.
Brandin Cooks has accumulated quite a few less receiving yards per game (54.0) this year than he did last year (64.0).
Brandin Cooks's ball-catching skills have declined this season, with his Completion% decreasing from 68.2% to 59.0%.

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