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Brandin Cooks

Brandin Cooks Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 7

Las Vegas Raiders vs Houston Texans

Brandin Cooks Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+175/-252).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -237 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -252.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Texans are a huge 7-point underdog in this game, indicating an extreme passing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the Houston Texans offense as the 10th-fastest paced team in the league (in a neutral context) at the present time, averaging 27.56 seconds per snap.

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.

The Las Vegas Raiders pass defense has surrendered the 5th-highest Completion% in football (70%) vs. WRs this year (70.0%).

The Las Vegas Raiders safeties grade out as the 2nd-worst unit in football this year in covering receivers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects Brandin Cooks to be a less important option in his offense's passing offense near the goal line this week (26.9% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (44.4% in games he has played).

Brandin Cooks has posted far fewer air yards this season (71.0 per game) than he did last season (93.0 per game).

Brandin Cooks's 59.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been significantly worse this year than it was last year at 71.8.

Brandin Cooks's receiving reliability have declined this season, with his Completion% falling off from 68.2% to 59.1%.

The Houston Texans offensive line has given their quarterback a measly 2.33 seconds before getting pressured (worst in the league since the start of last season), which has a negative impact on all passing game stats across the board.

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