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Brandin Cooks

Brandin Cooks Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 1

Houston Texans vs Indianapolis Colts

Brandin Cooks Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+182/-267).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +213 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +182.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Texans are a heavy 7-point underdog in this game, which points towards an extreme passing game script.

This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.

Brandin Cooks has been a key part of his team's offense near the end zone, garnering a Red Zone Target Share of 21.7% since the start of last season, which ranks in the 88th percentile among wideouts.

Brandin Cooks has totaled a monstrous 93.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 91st percentile among WRs.

Brandin Cooks's 71.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) puts him in the company of the league leaders: 97th percentile for wide receivers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects the Texans to call the 4th-least total plays on the slate this week with 60.4 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

The Houston Texans have called the 3rd-least plays in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging a measly 59.1 plays per game.

The Houston Texans offensive line grades out as the 5th-worst in football since the start of last season in protecting the QB, which has a harmful effect on all pass attack statistics across the board.

The Indianapolis Colts pass defense has conceded the 6th-lowest Completion% in football (61.8%) vs. WRs since the start of last season (61.8%).

The Houston Texans offensive line has given their quarterback a measly 2.33 seconds before getting pressured (worst in football since the start of last season), which has a negative effect on all air attack stats across the board.

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