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Brady Cook TD Passes
Player Prop Week 18

Buffalo Bills vs New York Jets

Brady Cook TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ +100 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Jets may throw the ball less in this week's game (and call more carries) because they be forced to start backup QB Brady Cook.

This game's spread implies an extreme passing game script for the Jets, who are big -13-point underdogs.

The Bills safeties project as the 4th-worst group of safeties in the league this year in regard to rushing the passer.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Our trusted projections expect the New York Jets offensive blueprint to skew 9.7% more towards the run game than it did last season (in a neutral context) with offensive coordinator Tanner Engstrand now calling the plays.

Right now, the least pass-heavy team in the league (54.0% adjusted for context) according to the projection model is the Jets.

Based on their underlying play style and game dynamics, the New York Jets are predicted by the projections to run only 62.0 total plays in this contest: the 2nd-lowest number on the slate this week.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 30.1 pass attempts per game vs. the Bills defense this year: 2nd-fewest in football.

When talking about protecting the quarterback (and the effect it has on all passing game statistics), the O-line of the New York Jets grades out as the 8th-worst in football this year.

More Brady Cook Player Props

Brady Cook TD PassesPlayer Prop Week 18

Buffalo Bills vs New York Jets

Brady Cook TD Passes
Player Prop Week 18