Boston Scott Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 9

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Boston Scott

NFL · Player Props

Boston Scott

RB · Philadelphia Eagles

Rushing Yards

Houston Texans vs Philadelphia Eagles · Week 9, 2022

Updated Nov 4, 2022 12:16 AM UTC

Analysis

Boston Scott Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 18.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 18.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Eagles are a huge 13.5-point favorite this week, which points towards an extreme rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Philadelphia Eagles to be the 2nd-most run-centric team on the slate this week with a 52.0% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the most plays run out of all the games this week at 133.9 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Philadelphia Eagles have run the 4th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a colossal 62.7 plays per game.
Opposing offenses have rushed for the most yards in football (180 per game) against the Houston Texans defense this year.

Favors Under

This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
Boston Scott has been much less involved in his team's running game this season (11.5% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last season (27.3%).
Boston Scott has run for a lot fewer yards per game (13.0) this year than he did last year (35.0).
Boston Scott's rushing efficiency has declined this year, totaling just 2.88 yards-per-carry compared to a 4.43 figure last year.
The Philadelphia Eagles have gone up against a stacked the box on 18.9% of their plays since the start of last season, 7th-most in the league. Keeping an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

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