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Boston Scott

Boston Scott Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 9

Houston Texans vs Philadelphia Eagles

 
 
 
Boston Scott Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 18.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 18.5 @ -120.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Eagles are a huge 13.5-point favorite this week, which points towards an extreme rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Philadelphia Eagles to be the 2nd-most run-centric team on the slate this week with a 52.0% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to see the most plays run out of all the games this week at 133.9 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Philadelphia Eagles have run the 4th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a colossal 62.7 plays per game.
  • Opposing offenses have rushed for the most yards in football (180 per game) against the Houston Texans defense this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • Boston Scott has been much less involved in his team's running game this season (11.5% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last season (27.3%).
  • Boston Scott has run for a lot fewer yards per game (13.0) this year than he did last year (35.0).
  • Boston Scott's rushing efficiency has declined this year, totaling just 2.88 yards-per-carry compared to a 4.43 figure last year.
  • The Philadelphia Eagles have gone up against a stacked the box on 18.9% of their plays since the start of last season, 7th-most in the league. Keeping an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

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