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Bo Nix TD Passes
Player Prop Week 17

Kansas City Chiefs vs Denver Broncos

Bo Nix TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-139/+107).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -109 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -139.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The projections expect the Denver Broncos to be the 5th-most pass-oriented team in the league near the goal line (context-neutralized) right now with a 60.7% red zone pass rate.

Our trusted projections expect the Broncos to call the most plays on offense among all teams this week with 67.7 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

The Broncos have called the 7th-most plays in football this year, averaging a whopping 59.5 plays per game.

The Denver offensive line ranks as the 5th-best in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a strong influence on all pass game metrics across the board.

This year, the feeble Chiefs defense has allowed a whopping 75.3% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing teams: the 2nd-highest rate in football.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Broncos are a massive 13.5-point favorite in this week's contest, which points towards an extreme rushing game script.

The projections expect the Broncos to be the 11th-least pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 55.1% pass rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.

Opposing quarterbacks teams have been reluctant to pass too much against the Chiefs, totaling the 9th-fewest attempts in the league (a measly 31.6 per game) this year.

This year, the imposing Chiefs defense has yielded a measly 1.13 touchdowns through the air per game to opposing teams: the 4th-best rate in the NFL.

As it relates to cornerbacks in defending receivers, Kansas City's group of CBs has been one of the most skilled this year, projecting as the 3rd-best in football.

More Bo Nix Player Props

Bo Nix TD PassesPlayer Prop Week 17

Kansas City Chiefs vs Denver Broncos

Bo Nix TD Passes
Player Prop Week 17