reorder

Bo Nix TD Passes
Player Prop Week 1

Denver Broncos vs Tennessee Titans

Bo Nix TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-150/+125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -138 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -150.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The projections expect the Broncos to be the 7th-most pass-oriented offense in the NFL near the end zone (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 59.5% red zone pass rate.

The Broncos O-line profiles as the best in football last year in protecting the QB, which has a positive impact on all passing offense metrics across the board.

Opposing teams have completed passes at the 8th-highest level in football versus the Tennessee Titans defense last year (72.8% Adjusted Completion%).

When it comes to cornerbacks in covering pass-catchers, Tennessee's collection of CBs has been awful last year, profiling as the 6th-worst in the league.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This game's spread suggests an extreme running game script for the Broncos, who are a massive favorite by 8 points.

Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Broncos to pass on 53.4% of their plays: the 2nd-lowest rate on the slate this week.

The projections expect this game to see the 3rd-smallest number of plays run on the slate this week at 125.6 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

Opposing offenses teams have been wary to pass too much against the Tennessee Titans, totaling the fewest attempts in football (a measly 26.9 per game) last year.

More Bo Nix Player Props

Bo Nix TD PassesPlayer Prop Week 1

Denver Broncos vs Tennessee Titans

Bo Nix TD Passes
Player Prop Week 1