Bo Nix Passing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 1

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Bo Nix

NFL · Player Props

Bo Nix

QB · Denver Broncos

Passing Yards

Denver Broncos vs Tennessee Titans · Week 1, 2025

Updated Sep 7, 2025 7:26 PM EST

Analysis

Bo Nix Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 214.5 (-112/-112).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 210.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 214.5 @ -112.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Broncos O-line profiles as the best in football last year in protecting the QB, which has a positive impact on all passing offense metrics across the board.
Opposing teams have completed passes at the 8th-highest level in football versus the Tennessee Titans defense last year (72.8% Adjusted Completion%).
When it comes to cornerbacks in covering pass-catchers, Tennessee's collection of CBs has been awful last year, profiling as the 6th-worst in the league.

Favors Under

This game's spread suggests an extreme running game script for the Broncos, who are a massive favorite by 8 points.
Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Broncos to pass on 53.4% of their plays: the 2nd-lowest rate on the slate this week.
The projections expect this game to see the 3rd-smallest number of plays run on the slate this week at 125.6 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Opposing offenses teams have been wary to pass too much against the Tennessee Titans, totaling the fewest attempts in football (a measly 26.9 per game) last year.
Opposing teams have thrown for the 2nd-fewest yards in the league (just 190.0 adjusted yards per game) against the Titans defense last year.

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