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Bo Nix

Bo Nix Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 1

Denver Broncos vs Tennessee Titans

 
 
 
Bo Nix Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 214.5 (-112/-112).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 210.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 214.5 @ -112.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Broncos O-line profiles as the best in football last year in protecting the QB, which has a positive impact on all passing offense metrics across the board.
  • Opposing teams have completed passes at the 8th-highest level in football versus the Tennessee Titans defense last year (72.8% Adjusted Completion%).
  • When it comes to cornerbacks in covering pass-catchers, Tennessee's collection of CBs has been awful last year, profiling as the 6th-worst in the league.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This game's spread suggests an extreme running game script for the Broncos, who are a massive favorite by 8 points.
  • Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Broncos to pass on 53.4% of their plays: the 2nd-lowest rate on the slate this week.
  • The projections expect this game to see the 3rd-smallest number of plays run on the slate this week at 125.6 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • Opposing offenses teams have been wary to pass too much against the Tennessee Titans, totaling the fewest attempts in football (a measly 26.9 per game) last year.
  • Opposing teams have thrown for the 2nd-fewest yards in the league (just 190.0 adjusted yards per game) against the Titans defense last year.

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