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Blake Corum

Blake Corum Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 20

Chicago Bears vs Los Angeles Rams

 
 
 
Blake Corum Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+235/-260).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -260 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -260.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The model projects the Rams to be the most pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 61.5% pass rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
  • Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is anticipated by the predictive model to have 134.3 total plays called: the highest number out of all the games this week.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have completed passes at the highest level in football against the Bears defense this year (74.0% Adjusted Completion%).
  • The Chicago Bears defense has been gouged for the 3rd-most touchdowns through the air in the league to running backs: 0.28 per game this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • A rushing game script is indicated by the Rams being a 4-point favorite in this week's contest.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 28.2 pass attempts per game against the Bears defense this year: 4th-fewest in the NFL.
  • In regards to pass-blocking (and the ramifications it has on all passing offense statistics), the offensive line of the Los Angeles Rams profiles as the worst in football this year.
  • The Chicago Bears defensive tackles profile as the 4th-worst collection of DTs in football this year in regard to defending the run.

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