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Blake Corum

Blake Corum Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 18

Los Angeles Rams vs Arizona Cardinals

 
 
 
Blake Corum Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+186/-200).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -200 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -200.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Rams to pass on 59.1% of their downs: the 9th-greatest frequency among all teams this week.
  • The model projects the Los Angeles Rams to call the 4th-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 67.1 plays, based on their underlying play style and game dynamics.
  • The weather report calls for 2-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, and lower ground volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • This year, the poor Arizona Cardinals defense has yielded a massive 0.31 TDs through the air per game to opposing RBs: the 4th-worst rate in the NFL.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 6.5-point advantage, the Rams are favored in this game, suggesting more of a focus on running than their standard approach.
  • The Los Angeles O-line ranks as the 10th-worst in football this year in pass protection, which has a negative effect on all pass attack metrics across the board.
  • Opposing offenses have rushed for the 6th-most TDs in football (1.19 per game) against the Arizona Cardinals defense this year.
  • When it comes to the defensive ends' role in defending against the run, Arizona's DE corps has been lousy this year, profiling as the 4th-worst in the NFL. in the NFL.

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