reorder

Blake Corum Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 17

Atlanta Falcons vs Los Angeles Rams

Blake Corum Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+148/-168).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -180 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -168.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At the moment, the 3rd-most pass-focused offense in the league (65.2% context-neutralized) according to the model is the Rams.

The predictive model expects this game to see the 2nd-largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 133.7 plays, based on the play styles of each team and game dynamics.

This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.

This year, the porous Atlanta Falcons defense has surrendered a staggering 0.27 receiving TDs per game to opposing running backs: the largest rate in the league.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Rams are a huge 7.5-point favorite in this week's game, likely creating an extreme rushing game script.

Opposing offenses have averaged 31.2 pass attempts per game vs. the Atlanta Falcons defense this year: fewest in the NFL.

As it relates to protecting the passer (and the impact it has on all pass game statistics), the O-line of the Los Angeles Rams profiles as the worst in the NFL this year.

The Atlanta Falcons pass defense has surrendered the 7th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (77.8%) to RBs this year (77.8%).

The Atlanta Falcons defensive tackles project as the worst unit in the NFL this year with their run defense.

More Blake Corum Player Props

Blake Corum TouchdownsPlayer Prop Week 17

Atlanta Falcons vs Los Angeles Rams

Blake Corum Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 17