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Blake Corum

Blake Corum Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 12

Los Angeles Rams vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

 
 
 
Blake Corum Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+260/-290).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +280 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +260.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Right now, the 4th-most pass-centric offense in the NFL (64.3% in a neutral context) according to our trusted projection set is the Rams.
  • Accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Los Angeles Rams are projected by the projection model to run 65.6 plays on offense in this contest: the 7th-most on the slate this week.
  • The weather report calls for 1-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, and reduced rush volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
  • The Tampa Bay Buccaneers pass defense has allowed the highest Adjusted Completion% in football (90.1%) vs. RBs this year (90.1%).
  • The Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense has been torched for the 4th-most touchdowns through the air in the league to RBs: 0.30 per game this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 6.5-point advantage, the Rams are favored in this week's game, indicating more of a reliance on rushing than their usual game plan.
  • As it relates to pocket protection (and the ramifications it has on all pass attack statistics), the offensive line of the Los Angeles Rams grades out as the 8th-worst in the NFL this year.
  • The Buccaneers safeties project as the best collection of safeties in football this year in defending pass-catchers.

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