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Blake Corum

Blake Corum Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 4

Los Angeles Rams vs Indianapolis Colts

 
 
 
Blake Corum Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-106/-101).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 17.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 21.5 @ -106.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • A rushing game script is implied by the Rams being a 3.5-point favorite in this week's contest.
  • Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is forecasted by the model to see 129.7 total plays called: the 3rd-highest number out of all the games this week.
  • Since the start of last season, the anemic Indianapolis Colts run defense has been gouged for a monstrous 127.0 adjusted rushing yards per game to opposing squads: the 9th-most in the NFL.
  • The Indianapolis Colts linebackers grade out as the 4th-worst group of LBs in football since the start of last season when it comes to defending the run.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The model projects the Rams as the 7th-least run-centric offense among all teams this week with a 39.2% run rate, accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
  • The passing games of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm weather conditions (0-mph wind) being predicted in this game, while rush volume may drop-off.

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