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Blake Corum

Blake Corum Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 3

Philadelphia Eagles vs Los Angeles Rams

 
 
 
Blake Corum Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 16.5 @ -120.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Los Angeles's passing stats since the start of last season may be artificially inflated (and rushing stats deflated) in light of playing the 3rd-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in the league. We should be able to count on some regression with windier weather in this week's contest.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Rams are a 3.5-point underdog in this week's contest, likely leading to a passing game script.
  • Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Rams to run on 38.3% of their downs: the 3rd-lowest clip on the slate this week.
  • The projections expect the Rams to call the 8th-fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 62.7 plays, given their underlying propensities and game dynamics.
  • The Philadelphia Eagles defense boasts the 8th-best efficiency against opposing rushing attacks since the start of last season, surrendering just 4.31 adjusted yards-per-carry (YPC).
  • When it comes to the defensive tackles' role in defending against the run, Philadelphia's collection of DTs has been tremendous since the start of last season, ranking as the 5th-best in football.

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