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Blake Corum

Blake Corum Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 17

Atlanta Falcons vs Los Angeles Rams

 
 
 
Blake Corum Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+120/-141).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At the moment, the 3rd-most pass-focused offense in the league (65.2% context-neutralized) according to the model is the Rams.
  • The predictive model expects this game to see the 2nd-largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 133.7 plays, based on the play styles of each team and game dynamics.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
  • The Falcons defensive tackles rank as the worst group of DTs in the league this year in regard to rushing the passer.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Rams are a huge 7.5-point favorite in this week's game, likely creating an extreme rushing game script.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 31.2 pass attempts per game vs. the Atlanta Falcons defense this year: fewest in the NFL.
  • As it relates to protecting the passer (and the impact it has on all pass game statistics), the O-line of the Los Angeles Rams profiles as the worst in the NFL this year.
  • This year, the stout Falcons defense has conceded a puny 29.0 adjusted receiving yards per game to opposing running backs: the 10th-fewest in football.
  • The Atlanta Falcons pass defense has surrendered the 7th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (77.8%) to RBs this year (77.8%).

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